News

IATA Now Predicts US$252bn Fall in Aviation Revenue

IATA Now Predicts US$252bn Fall in Aviation Revenue

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has updated its analysis of the revenue impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the global air transport industry. Owing to the severity of travel restrictions and the expected global recession, IATA now estimates that industry passenger revenues could plummet $252 billion. The figure is 44% below that for last year.

This is in a scenario in which severe travel restrictions last for up to three months, followed by a gradual economic recovery later this year.

previous analysis of up to a $113 billion revenue loss was made on 5 March, before countries around the world introduced sweeping travel restrictions that largely eliminated the international air travel market.

“The airline industry faces its gravest crisis,” said Alexandre de Juniac, Director General, IATA. “Within a matter of a few weeks, our previous worst-case scenario is looking better than our latest estimates. But without immediate government relief measures, there will not be an industry left standing. Airlines need $200 billion in liquidity support simply to make it through. Some governments have already stepped forward, but many more need to follow suit.”

The latest analysis envisions that under this scenario, severe restrictions on travel are lifted after three months.

The recovery in travel demand later this year is weakened by the impact of global recession on jobs and confidence.

Full-year passenger demand (revenue passenger kilometres) declines 38% compared to 2019.

Industry capacity (available seat kilometre) in domestic and international markets declines 65% during the second quarter ended 30 June compared to a year-ago period, but in this scenario recovers to a 10% decline in the fourth quarter.

Click to add a comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

News

NEIL STEEDMAN has been a trade journalist, editor and proofreader for 53 years, and ITTN's News & Features Editor for 43 years. His travel blog is at www.thetravelbuddhist.com.

More in News

Seychelles fully opens to the world

Michael FloodMarch 5, 2021

ITTN Photographer of the Year 2021: We Want Your Photos!

Fionn DavenportMarch 5, 2021

Cyprus to Welcome Vaccinated Visitors From May 1

Fionn DavenportMarch 5, 2021

Data breach Strikes at Star Alliance Airlines

Fionn DavenportMarch 5, 2021

Maldives 2021: What’s New

Fionn DavenportMarch 5, 2021

Ryanair Returns to Belfast City Airport After 11 Years With 8 Summer Routes

Sharon JordanMarch 5, 2021
Taj Mahal

Have You ‘Wondered’ What is the Cost of Living Near the Seven Wonders of the World?

Michael FloodMarch 5, 2021

British Airways Offer Covid Tests for £33

Fionn DavenportMarch 4, 2021

What Are You Reading on World Book Day?

Sharon JordanMarch 4, 2021

Copyright © 2021 ittn